Automatic Income Method
This can be committed to individuals which put money into individual stocks. I has shared along with you the strategy I have tried personally over time to pick out stocks that we have discovered to be consistently profitable in actual trading. I prefer to utilize a mix of fundamental and technical analysis for picking stocks. My experience indicates that successful stock selection involves two steps:
1. Select a share while using fundamental analysis presented then
2. Confirm that this stock is definitely an uptrend as shown by the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average Line (EMA) being across the 100-Day EMA
This two-step process increases the odds that this stock you decide on will be profitable. It now offers an indication to trade Automatic Income Method which has not performed as expected if it’s 50-Day EMA drops below its 100-Day EMA. It is also a useful means for selecting stocks for covered call writing, a different sort of strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis will be the study of monetary data such as earnings, dividends and your money flow, which influence the pricing of securities. I use fundamental analysis to help you select securities for future price appreciation. Over recent years I have tried personally many strategies to measuring a company’s rate of growth in an attempt to predict its stock’s future price performance. I have used methods such as earnings growth and return on equity. I have discovered why these methods usually are not always reliable or predictive.
Earning Growth
For instance, corporate net profits are at the mercy of vague bookkeeping practices such as depreciation, cash flow, inventory adjustment and reserves. These are all at the mercy of interpretation by accountants. Today as part of your, corporations are under increasing pressure to beat analyst’s earnings estimates which leads to more aggressive accounting interpretations. Some corporations take special “one time” write-offs on the balance sheet for specific things like failed mergers or acquisitions, restructuring, unprofitable divisions, failed website, etc. Many times these write-offs usually are not reflected as being a drag on earnings growth but show up as being a footnote over a financial report. These “one time” write-offs occur with an increase of frequency than you may expect. Many businesses that form the Dow Jones Industrial Average have taken such write-offs.
Return on Equity
One other indicator, which has been found just isn’t necessarily predictive of stock price appreciation, is return on equity (ROE). Conventional wisdom correlates a top return on equity with successful corporate management that is maximizing shareholder value (the larger the ROE better).
Which company is a bit more successful?
Coca-Cola (KO) with a Return on Equity of 46% or
Merrill Lynch (MER) with a Return on Equity of 18%
The reply is Merrill Lynch by measure. But Coca-Cola has a greater ROE. How is this possible?
Return on equity is calculated by dividing a company’s post tax profit by stockholder’s equity. Coca-Cola is really over valued what has stockholder’s equity is simply corresponding to about 5% from the total monatary amount from the company. The stockholder equity is really small that just about anywhere of post tax profit will develop a favorable ROE.
Merrill Lynch alternatively, has stockholder’s equity corresponding to 42% from the monatary amount from the company as well as a greater post tax profit figure to produce a comparable ROE. My point is the fact that ROE won’t compare apples to apples so therefore is not a good relative indicator in comparing company performance.
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